Wigan Athletic 1-0 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2024

Wigan Athletic
1-0 HT 0-0
Bolton Wanderers
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Wigan Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 32% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.3
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
9%
7.07
X/2
18%
4.41
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
12%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.75
2/X
10%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wigan Athletic v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.81/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.89
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
264 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 73%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.0 Crosses 16.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Wigan Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.31 xG 0.95
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
227 Passes 299
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-3 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
02.04.2022 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
16.10.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-4 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
24.08.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNLK
16.03.2019 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 5-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL
01.12.2018 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İNCL

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
1-0
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.57 xG 0.71
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 9
210 Passes 536
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
8 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic nicked a narrow win over Bolton Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bolton Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 31% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 69%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.57 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wigan Athletic and 0.67 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?

Wigan Athletic 1-0 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 29%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 44%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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