Lincoln City 3-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.54
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
12%
3.85
X/2
11%
8.33
X/X
14%
3.87
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
12%
7.41
2/X
9%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.19/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.23
-34% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +23%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 65%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.5 Crosses 14.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lincoln City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 241
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
07.05.2023 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
03.12.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-0 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
26.03.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
30.10.2021 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
10.08.2021 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-2 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lincoln City
3-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.82 xG 0.23
47% Ball Possession 53%
23 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
254 Passes 298
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City ran out comfortable winners over Shrewsbury 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lincoln City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Lincoln City had 47% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 53%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.82 to 0.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lincoln City and 1.00 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury?

Lincoln City 3-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lincoln City vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lincoln City 43%, draw 29%, Shrewsbury 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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