Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Feb 2024

Stevenage
1-0 HT 1-0
Cambridge United
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Stevenage vs Cambridge United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.14
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
14%
3.54
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
12%
4.37
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
11%
9.43
2/X
11%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stevenage v Cambridge United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.45/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.44
-34% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
266 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 66%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
26.7 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Stevenage vs Cambridge United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.51 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
228 Passes 340
64% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
09.11.2021 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İNTK
24.04.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-1 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
29.12.2020 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
18.01.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-4 HT 0-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
28.09.2019 Stevenage Stevenage 1-1 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2

Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-0
AWAY Cambridge United
1.17 xG 0.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
270 Passes 213
65% Pass Accuracy 56%
32 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Cambridge United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 53% of the ball to Cambridge United's 47%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.17 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stevenage and 0.33 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Cambridge United?

Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 46%, draw 28%, Cambridge United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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