Burton Albion vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burton Albion v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals
Burton Albion vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Burton Albion
İN1
1-1
HT 0-1
Carlisle United
İN2
3-4
HT 2-4
Burton Albion
İN2
Burton Albion 0-1 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics
Carlisle United squeezed past Burton Albion 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Burton Albion at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burton Albion had 51% of the ball to Carlisle United's 49%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.12 to 0.15 — on chances, Burton Albion could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Burton Albion and 2.00 for Carlisle United.
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Carlisle United?
Burton Albion 0-1 Carlisle United in the England - 1st Division on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Carlisle United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 42%, draw 28%, Carlisle United 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.