Armadale 4-2 Western Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.5pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.6pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armadale EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Knights EU Bookmakers 40%
+13% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
2.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.02
+50% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armadale
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Western Knights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.07.2024 Armadale Armadale 2-0 HT 1-0 Western Knights Western Knights AVUSB
13.04.2024 Western Knights Western Knights 1-1 HT 0-1 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
POST-MATCH Armadale vs Western Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armadale got the better of Western Knights 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 19% / 40%) promised a tight game; Armadale found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Armadale had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Armadale and 0.50 for Western Knights.

What was the final score of Armadale vs Western Knights?

Armadale 4-2 Western Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armadale vs Western Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Armadale win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Armadale 41%, draw 19%, Western Knights 40%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Armadale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Armadale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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