13/07/2024
·
10:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Armadale vs Western Knights Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
23%
Draw
23%
32%
Away Win
28%
41%
Under 2.5
31%
59%
Over 2.5
69%
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
39%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Armadale v Western Knights — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Armadale
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Western Knights
EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% /
-9%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+25%
/
-45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
369 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
–
Armadale vs Western Knights Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Armadale
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Western Knights
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Armadale vs Western Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Armadale saw off Western Knights 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Armadale as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Armadale vs Western Knights?
Armadale 2-0 Western Knights in the Australia - NPL West on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Armadale vs Western Knights?
Before kick-off our model rated a Armadale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Armadale 46%, draw 23%, Western Knights 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Armadale) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Armadale)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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13 Jul 2024