Perth RedStar FC 3-2 Bayswater City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL West, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.9pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth RedStar FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
516 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth RedStar FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayswater City
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 0-3 HT 0-3 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
08.03.2024 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 3-1 HT 0-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City BAELGS
22.07.2023 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
20.05.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-1 HT 1-1 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
18.06.2022 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC 4-0 HT 4-0 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
26.03.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-3 HT 1-1 Perth RedStar FC Perth RedStar FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Perth RedStar FC vs Bayswater City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth RedStar FC nicked a narrow win over Bayswater City 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Perth RedStar FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth RedStar FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Perth RedStar FC and 0.67 for Bayswater City.

What was the final score of Perth RedStar FC vs Bayswater City?

Perth RedStar FC 3-2 Bayswater City in the Australia - NPL West on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth RedStar FC vs Bayswater City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth RedStar FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Perth RedStar FC 41%, draw 25%, Bayswater City 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perth RedStar FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Perth RedStar FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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