Newry City AFC 3-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2025

Newry City AFC
3-0
Ballinamallard United
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.53
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 30% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.6pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Ballinamallard United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -25%
1.19/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.83
-28% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
08.03.2025 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
26.12.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
27.08.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
06.01.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 3-2 HT 2-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRK
22.01.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
13.11.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newry City AFC cruised past Ballinamallard United 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Newry City AFC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newry City AFC and 0.83 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Newry City AFC 3-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newry City AFC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 40%, draw 28%, Ballinamallard United 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newry City AFC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Newry City AFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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