Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 1 Apr 2025

📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.8pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.99/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.97
-1% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
26.10.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
19.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC and Newington Youth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Institute FC and 1.17 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Institute FC 3-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 53%, draw 19%, Newington Youth 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Institute FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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