Institute FC 2-0 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

Institute FC
2-0 HT 1-0
Newington Youth
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Institute FC vs Newington Youth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.4pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Newington Youth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.58/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.99
-22% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3

Institute FC vs Newington Youth Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
19.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
22.04.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.02.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
12.11.2022 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-4 HT 0-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1

Institute FC 2-0 Newington Youth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Institute FC
2-0
AWAY Newington Youth
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC saw off Newington Youth 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Institute FC had 46% of the ball to Newington Youth's 54%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Institute FC and 2.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Institute FC 2-0 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 47%, draw 24%, Newington Youth 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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