Ballinamallard United 1-2 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

Ballinamallard United
1-2 HT 1-0
Portadown FC
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Ballinamallard United vs Portadown FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
10%
8.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.51 — our 30% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ballinamallard United v Portadown FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.60/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.01
-17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +77%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.0

Ballinamallard United vs Portadown FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballinamallard United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Portadown FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL1
23.09.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
26.10.2021 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KILK
31.01.2015 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
01.11.2014 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 0-2 HT 0-2 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
20.09.2014 Portadown FC Portadown FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballinamallard United vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC nicked a narrow win over Ballinamallard United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ballinamallard United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portadown FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ballinamallard United and 1.33 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Ballinamallard United vs Portadown FC?

Ballinamallard United 1-2 Portadown FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballinamallard United vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ballinamallard United 45%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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