Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.62
2-3 Goals
47%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+11.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
43%
Away Win
58%
-14.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 62%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.91/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-34% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Institute FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
19.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
22.04.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth got the better of Institute FC 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Institute FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Newington Youth and 1.50 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Newington Youth 2-0 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 31%, draw 26%, Institute FC 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Institute FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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