Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

Institute FC
4-0
Newington Youth
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Institute FC vs Newington Youth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.66
2-3 Goals
36%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Institute FC v Newington Youth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Institute FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.45/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.16
-31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Institute FC vs Newington Youth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Institute FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
19.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
22.04.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.02.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
12.11.2022 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-4 HT 0-3 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Institute FC vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC cruised past Newington Youth 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Institute FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Institute FC and 1.67 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Institute FC vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Institute FC 45%, draw 22%, Newington Youth 33%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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