Armagh City 1-4 Bangor FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.39
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.68
6+ Goals
14%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor FC EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.52/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Bangor FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor FC cruised past Armagh City 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bangor FC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Bangor FC?

Armagh City 1-4 Bangor FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Bangor FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 27%, draw 26%, Bangor FC 47%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bangor FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bangor FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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