Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
40%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.29
Over 2.5
58%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.78
2-3 Goals
32%
1.92
4-5 Goals
32%
2.82
6+ Goals
10%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
34%
Draw
24%
+10.5pp
40%
Away Win
50%
-9.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
40%
+2.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
60%
-2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.1pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Institute FC EU Bookmakers 54%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.42/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.69
-68% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newington Youth
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Institute FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 4-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
24.02.2024 Institute FC Institute FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
16.12.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-1 HT 2-1 Institute FC Institute FC KİRL1
19.08.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 1-3 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
22.04.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
14.02.2023 Institute FC Institute FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Newington Youth vs Institute FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Institute FC squeezed past Newington Youth 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (26% / 34% / 40%) promised a tight game; Institute FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newington Youth had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newington Youth and 1.33 for Institute FC.

What was the final score of Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Newington Youth 0-1 Institute FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newington Youth vs Institute FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Institute FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Newington Youth 26%, draw 34%, Institute FC 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Institute FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Institute FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
26 Oct 2024
17:00 Ards FC vs Armagh City Analysis →
17:00 Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC Analysis →