Ards FC 3-1 Armagh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

Ards FC
3-1
Armagh City
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ards FC vs Armagh City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.34 — our 28% vs market 14.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.7pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.0pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ards FC v Armagh City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Armagh City EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.80/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.23
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Armagh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC beat Armagh City 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ards FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Ards FC 3-1 Armagh City in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Armagh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 43%, draw 33%, Armagh City 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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