Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.38
No
50%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.68
2-3 Goals
47%
2.15
4-5 Goals
22%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.8pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballyclare Comrades EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.37/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballyclare Comrades
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Newry City AFC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
20.09.2024 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
04.10.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-2 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
26.03.2022 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-5 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
27.12.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades KİRL1
26.12.2019 Ballyclare Comrades Ballyclare Comrades 1-1 HT 0-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballyclare Comrades got the better of Newry City AFC 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ballyclare Comrades as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newry City AFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ballyclare Comrades and 2.00 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC?

Ballyclare Comrades 3-1 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballyclare Comrades vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballyclare Comrades win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ballyclare Comrades 47%, draw 24%, Newry City AFC 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ballyclare Comrades) ✓ Over 2.5
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