Limavady United 2-1 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Dec 2024

📅30/12/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
29%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
8.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Limavady United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +22%
2.02/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.36
+2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Limavady United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.11.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 1-2 HT 1-1 Limavady United Limavady United KİRL1
21.09.2024 Limavady United Limavady United 1-2 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
POST-MATCH Limavady United vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Limavady United squeezed past Ballinamallard United 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Limavady United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Limavady United and 1.50 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Limavady United vs Ballinamallard United?

Limavady United 2-1 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 30/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Limavady United vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Limavady United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Limavady United 51%, draw 23%, Ballinamallard United 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Limavady United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Limavady United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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