Burgos 1-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2026

Burgos
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Ceuta
📅01/04/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Burgos vs Ceuta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.93
Draw
30%
3.02
Away
22%
3.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
62%
1.55
Over
38%
2.3
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.17
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
15%
5.27
6+
3%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.69
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
19%
4.25
X/2
9%
8.0
X/X
20%
3.61
2/1
2%
32.0
2/2
11%
7.11
2/X
5%
15.7
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Burgos v Ceuta — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Burgos The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta The Market 26%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.99
0.89 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.49
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2

Burgos vs Ceuta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.59 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 10
262 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2

Burgos 1-1 Ceuta — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1 - 1
AWAY Ceuta
0.81 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
347 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Burgos vs Ceuta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Burgos and Ceuta traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.

A gentle 48% lean on Burgos didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (62%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

By the numbers, Burgos had 51% of the ball to Ceuta's 49%, shots finished 8-5, expected goals 0.81 to 0.61.

Burgos vs Ceuta Result & Final Score

Burgos 1 - 1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Burgos vs Ceuta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burgos 48%, draw 30%, Ceuta 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
1 Apr 2026
20:00 FC Andorra vs Malaga Analysis →
21:00 Huesca vs Cultural Leonesa Analysis →
22:30 Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijon Analysis →