Irak 2-1 Bolivya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 1 Apr 2026

Irak
2-1 HT 1-1
Bolivya
📅01/04/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.48
Over 2.5
47%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
31%
+11.3pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
64%
-10.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
36%
+10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.6pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Irak EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya EU Bookmakers 42%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+35% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
267 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Irak
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Bolivya
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
20.11.2018 Irak Irak 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Irak
2-1
AWAY Bolivya
0.74 xG 0.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 16
163 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Irak vs Bolivya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Irak nicked a narrow win over Bolivya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Irak as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Irak had 32% of the ball to Bolivya's 68%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.74 to 0.61.

What was the final score of Irak vs Bolivya?

Irak 2-1 Bolivya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 01/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Irak vs Bolivya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Irak win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Irak 42%, draw 26%, Bolivya 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Irak) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Irak) ✗ Under 2.5
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