Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.45
X/1
12%
3.7
X/2
10%
12.1
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
8%
9.6
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.84/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.29
-2% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
27.1 Crosses 10.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 1.31
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
19.05.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 3-3 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
23.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
29.10.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
08.12.2021 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 1-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN2
22.11.2021 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
2-2
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners
440 Passes 216
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao and Wuhan Three Towns couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chengdu Qianbao at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 65% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 35%, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Chengdu Qianbao 2-2 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 53%, draw 23%, Wuhan Three Towns 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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