Malmö FF 1-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.02
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
16%
3.7
X/2
12%
10.9
X/X
9%
5.21
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
10%
8.92
2/X
7%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
17%
+10.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
3.47/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.97
+71% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.84 xG 0.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
470 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
12.03.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
20.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-3 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
16.05.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 4-0 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
1-1
AWAY Djurgarden
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF and Djurgarden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 59% of the ball to Djurgarden's 41%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malmö FF and 1.83 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Malmö FF 1-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 48%, draw 24%, Djurgarden 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5
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