Inter Milano (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 1 May 2024

Inter Milano (K)
2-2 HT 1-0
Fiorentina (K)
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.0pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
37%
Away Win
30%
+7.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-16.0pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Milano (K) v Fiorentina (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+67% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Milano (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.89 xG 0.56
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
350 Passes 255
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.03.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) İTKSA

Inter Milano (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2-2
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
3.08 xG 1.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
327 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) and Fiorentina (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Milano (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 53% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 47%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.08 to 1.44.

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 2-2 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Milano (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 44%, draw 19%, Fiorentina (K) 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter Milano (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Milano (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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