Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 1 May 2024

Estudiantes
1-1 HT 0-1
Boca Juniors
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.75
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.55
X/1
14%
5.44
X/2
11%
5.04
X/X
15%
3.51
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.93
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.5pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.12/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.09
-13% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.2 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.85
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
248 Passes 405
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
23.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
29.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
25.07.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
14.03.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ

Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-1
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.28 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
340 Passes 307
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
10 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes and Boca Juniors shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Estudiantes had 51% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.28 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Estudiantes 1-1 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 38%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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