Estudiantes 1-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Estudiantes
1-0 HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2023/2024

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.0
X/1
11%
4.71
X/2
9%
6.11
X/X
13%
3.58
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
17%
4.96
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.44/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.18
-1% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.2 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2

Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
229 Passes 413
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-3 HT 2-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJK
29.10.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
16.04.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
25.07.2022 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 3-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
14.03.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
16.08.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ

Estudiantes 1-0 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.25 xG 0.07
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 10
326 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes nicked a narrow win over Boca Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estudiantes had 44% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 56%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.25 to 0.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.00 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Estudiantes 1-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 40%, draw 29%, Boca Juniors 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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