Atletico Tigre 0-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Atletico Tigre
0-1 HT 0-0
Union Santa Fe
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.39
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
12%
5.62
X/2
17%
5.01
X/X
11%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.73
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Tigre v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.19/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.09
-26% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
21.3 Crosses 20.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.03 xG 1.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 265
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
16.04.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
05.06.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
04.05.2019 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 1-2 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJSK
30.04.2019 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-2 HT 0-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJSK
12.03.2019 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-2 HT 0-2 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Atletico Tigre 0-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
0-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.26 xG 0.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 5
352 Passes 200
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
10 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Atletico Tigre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Union Santa Fe made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 60% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 40%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.26 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.17 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe?

Atletico Tigre 0-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tigre win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 36%, draw 28%, Union Santa Fe 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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