Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 May 2024

Central Coast Mariners
2-0 HT 1-0
Adelaide United
📅01/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.75
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.98
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
13%
10.6
X/X
8%
6.99
2/1
7%
18.8
2/2
11%
6.6
2/X
8%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners v Adelaide United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.94/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.94
+16% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
35.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.8 Crosses 20.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Adelaide United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 1.57
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
350 Passes 350
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
35 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Adelaide United Adelaide United 0-4 HT 0-3 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
20.10.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
20.05.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
13.05.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.04.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-4 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
07.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS

Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-0
AWAY Adelaide United
0.97 xG 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
259 Passes 487
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners got the better of Adelaide United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Central Coast Mariners as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 38% of the ball to Adelaide United's 62%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 0.97 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 0.83 for Adelaide United.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?

Central Coast Mariners 2-0 Adelaide United in the Australia - A-League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 45%, draw 24%, Adelaide United 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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