Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 3 Feb 2024

Adelaide United
0-4 HT 0-3
Central Coast Mariners
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.8
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
30%
2.58
6+ Goals
17%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.51
1/2
8%
23.0
1/X
10%
12.3
X/1
13%
6.18
X/2
10%
5.77
X/X
5%
5.91
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
19%
3.21
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.8pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +24%
1.74/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.63
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
22.9 Crosses 12.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.76 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
337 Passes 360
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 34
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.10.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
20.05.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
13.05.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
28.04.2023 Adelaide United Adelaide United 1-4 HT 0-2 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
07.01.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 4-0 HT 1-0 Adelaide United Adelaide United AVUS
15.05.2022 Adelaide United Adelaide United 3-1 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS

Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United
0-4
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
1.02 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 4
370 Passes 333
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners swept aside Adelaide United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Central Coast Mariners found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Adelaide United had 53% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 47%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.02 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Adelaide United and 2.17 for Central Coast Mariners.

What was the final score of Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Adelaide United 0-4 Central Coast Mariners in the Australia - A-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United 39%, draw 24%, Central Coast Mariners 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Adelaide United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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