Western United 2-2 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 3 Feb 2024

Western United
2-2 HT 1-2
Sydney
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western United vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
45%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.59
2-3 Goals
41%
2.01
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
11%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.09
1/2
8%
19.9
1/X
10%
13.7
X/1
9%
8.07
X/2
14%
4.59
X/X
8%
6.28
2/1
9%
32.0
2/2
23%
2.36
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
45%
Away Win
50%
-5.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United v Sydney — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.28/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.31
-21% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
357 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
18.8 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Western United vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sydney
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.40 xG 2.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
333 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 4-2 HT 2-1 Western United Western United AVUS
17.09.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-0 HT 2-0 Western United Western United AVUK
01.04.2023 Sydney Sydney 3-3 HT 1-2 Western United Western United AVUS
21.01.2023 Western United Western United 1-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
16.10.2022 Western United Western United 1-3 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
19.03.2022 Sydney Sydney 3-0 HT 1-0 Western United Western United AVUS

Western United 2-2 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western United
2-2
AWAY Sydney
2.35 xG 2.28
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
215 Passes 397
65% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western United vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United and Sydney couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Western United had 40% of the ball to Sydney's 60%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.35 to 2.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Western United and 2.67 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Western United vs Sydney?

Western United 2-2 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Western United 29%, draw 27%, Sydney 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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