Deinze 2-1 Patro Eisden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.97
Over 2.5
42%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 33% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.98
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
15%
4.89
X/2
14%
6.64
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
8%
4.57
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.36/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.08
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
21.0 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
384 Passes 199
79% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.04.2024 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 0-4 HT 0-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
09.02.2024 Deinze Deinze 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
12.08.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 3-1 HT 1-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
05.12.2015 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-0 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
08.08.2015 Deinze Deinze 1-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
2-1
AWAY Patro Eisden
1.22 xG 2.65
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
160 Passes 158
58% Pass Accuracy 58%
16 Box Touches 43
10 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Patro Eisden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze edged past Patro Eisden 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Deinze as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deinze had 50% of the ball to Patro Eisden's 50%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 1.22 to 2.65 — the balance of chances actually favoured Patro Eisden.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Deinze and 1.00 for Patro Eisden.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Patro Eisden?

Deinze 2-1 Patro Eisden in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Patro Eisden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deinze 43%, draw 27%, Patro Eisden 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
1 May 2024
21:00 Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem Analysis →