Lommel United 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
27.0
1/X
12%
11.85
X/1
10%
5.57
X/2
12%
6.54
X/X
8%
5.33
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
10%
3.94
2/X
9%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 13% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lommel United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.38/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.54
+19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +76%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.2
15.0 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lommel United
1W-2D-1L
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.92 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
473 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-1 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
10.02.2024 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 0-3 HT 0-2 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
27.10.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
09.11.2022 Lommel United Lommel United 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lommel United
1-0
AWAY SV Zulte Waregem
0.89 xG 0.64
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 2
375 Passes 258
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lommel United nicked a narrow win over SV Zulte Waregem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Lommel United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lommel United had 56% of the ball to SV Zulte Waregem's 44%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lommel United and 0.75 for SV Zulte Waregem.

What was the final score of Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Lommel United 1-0 SV Zulte Waregem in the Belgium - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lommel United vs SV Zulte Waregem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lommel United 36%, draw 30%, SV Zulte Waregem 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lommel United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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