Botev Plovdiv 2-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - Cup, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Plovdiv
1W-0D-2L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BULK
17.03.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 4-0 HT 3-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Plovdiv
2-0
AWAY CSKA Sofia
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv beat CSKA Sofia 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA Sofia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Botev Plovdiv had 33% of the ball to CSKA Sofia's 67%, shots finished 4-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botev Plovdiv and 2.00 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Botev Plovdiv 2-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - Cup on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Botev Plovdiv 27%, draw 29%, CSKA Sofia 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CSKA Sofia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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