CSKA Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 18%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.96/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.46
-47% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
343 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
4-0
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Botev Plovdiv 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 50% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 50%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 60%, draw 25%, Botev Plovdiv 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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