Levski Krumovgrad 2-2 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 21%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.97
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +77%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
385 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY OFK Pirin
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-0 HT 1-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
2-2
AWAY OFK Pirin
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad and OFK Pirin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Levski Krumovgrad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 46% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 54%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs OFK Pirin?

Levski Krumovgrad 2-2 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 48%, draw 25%, OFK Pirin 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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