Marumo Gallants 1-0 Black Leopards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.56
Over 2.5
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Leopards FC EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/2.42
+4% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Black Leopards FC
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.36 xG 1.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 Passes 270
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 3-2 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF1
01.05.2021 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-2 HT 1-1 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAFPSL
16.12.2020 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
12.09.2020 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 1-3 HT 1-2 Black Leopards FC Black Leopards FC GAFPSL
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Black Leopards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marumo Gallants squeezed past Black Leopards FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marumo Gallants as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Black Leopards FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Marumo Gallants and 2.25 for Black Leopards FC.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Black Leopards FC?

Marumo Gallants 1-0 Black Leopards FC in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Black Leopards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 48%, draw 25%, Black Leopards FC 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marumo Gallants), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✓ BTTS No
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