Milford 4-3 Casric Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.9pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milford EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.20/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.11
+1% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milford
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Casric Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
07.10.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 0-2 HT 0-1 Milford Milford GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milford
4-3
AWAY Casric Stars
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milford vs Casric Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milford squeezed past Casric Stars 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Milford made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milford had 56% of the ball to Casric Stars's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Milford vs Casric Stars?

Milford 4-3 Casric Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milford vs Casric Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casric Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Milford 37%, draw 26%, Casric Stars 38%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Casric Stars) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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