Samgurali 0-1 Dinamo Batumi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
41%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.3pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
41%
Away Win
52%
-10.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samgurali EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 56%
+23% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.47/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.06
+44% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
200 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samgurali
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2024 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-0 HT 1-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
11.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 3-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
01.09.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 4-1 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
02.04.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
12.11.2022 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samgurali
0-1
AWAY Dinamo Batumi
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi nicked a narrow win over Samgurali 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Samgurali had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Batumi's 59%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Batumi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Samgurali and 1.83 for Dinamo Batumi.

What was the final score of Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Samgurali 0-1 Dinamo Batumi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Samgurali 30%, draw 29%, Dinamo Batumi 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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