Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Samgurali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.5pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.1pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Batumi EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Samgurali EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
2.36/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.09
+15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Batumi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Samgurali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 3-2 HT 1-2 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
01.09.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 4-1 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
20.05.2023 Samgurali Samgurali 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
02.04.2023 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 2-0 HT 2-0 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
12.11.2022 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi 1-2 HT 0-1 Samgurali Samgurali GUR
06.09.2022 Samgurali Samgurali 3-0 HT 2-0 Dinamo Batumi Dinamo Batumi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Batumi
1-0
AWAY Samgurali
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Batumi nicked a narrow win over Samgurali 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dinamo Batumi as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dinamo Batumi had 57% of the ball to Samgurali's 43%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samgurali led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dinamo Batumi and 1.67 for Samgurali.

What was the final score of Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali?

Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Samgurali in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Batumi win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Batumi 54%, draw 25%, Samgurali 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Batumi), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Batumi) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUR More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
11 Mar 2024
14:00 Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra Analysis →
18:00 Dila Gori vs Telavi Analysis →