Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolkheti 1913 Poti
2-1
AWAY Gagra
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolkheti 1913 Poti squeezed past Gagra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Kolkheti 1913 Poti found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kolkheti 1913 Poti had 46% of the ball to Gagra's 54%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra?

Kolkheti 1913 Poti 2-1 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolkheti 1913 Poti vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kolkheti 1913 Poti win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kolkheti 1913 Poti 39%, draw 28%, Gagra 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kolkheti 1913 Poti) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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