Dila Gori 1-0 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 11 Mar 2024

📅11/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.43/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.00
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +41%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dila Gori
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Telavi
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 3-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
28.09.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-1 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
01.06.2023 Dila Gori Dila Gori 6-1 HT 4-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
21.04.2023 Telavi Telavi 2-2 HT 1-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
26.11.2022 Telavi Telavi 1-1 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
09.09.2022 Dila Gori Dila Gori 0-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dila Gori
1-0
AWAY Telavi
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dila Gori vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dila Gori edged past Telavi 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dila Gori as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dila Gori had 59% of the ball to Telavi's 41%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dila Gori had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dila Gori and 1.17 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Dila Gori vs Telavi?

Dila Gori 1-0 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 11/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dila Gori vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Dila Gori 49%, draw 27%, Telavi 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dila Gori), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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