Eastern 2-1 Kitchee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
32%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
31%
+11.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
45%
-13.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitchee EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.55
-17% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kitchee
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
11.02.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HONSS
26.11.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.10.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.05.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
19.03.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
2-1
AWAY Kitchee
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 24
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Kitchee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over Kitchee 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Eastern had 45% of the ball to Kitchee's 55%, shots finished 13-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Eastern and 1.33 for Kitchee.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Kitchee?

Eastern 2-1 Kitchee in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Kitchee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eastern 43%, draw 25%, Kitchee 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5
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