Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 Sham Shui Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.22
Draw
26%
6.26
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
78%
-17.0pp
26%
Draw
13%
+12.9pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+4.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.77/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/3.74
+27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -27%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
583 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sham Shui Po
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-1 HT 0-0 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
16.10.2022 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-4 HT 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wofoo Tai Po
2-1
AWAY Sham Shui Po
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wofoo Tai Po vs Sham Shui Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wofoo Tai Po nicked a narrow win over Sham Shui Po 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wofoo Tai Po as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Wofoo Tai Po had 52% of the ball to Sham Shui Po's 48%, shots finished 18-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wofoo Tai Po had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wofoo Tai Po and 0.00 for Sham Shui Po.

What was the final score of Wofoo Tai Po vs Sham Shui Po?

Wofoo Tai Po 2-1 Sham Shui Po in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wofoo Tai Po vs Sham Shui Po?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wofoo Tai Po win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Wofoo Tai Po 60%, draw 26%, Sham Shui Po 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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1 May 2024
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