Sham Shui Po 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
60%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.96
Over 2.5
54%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+7.9pp
21%
Draw
16%
+4.8pp
60%
Away Win
72%
-12.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sham Shui Po EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po EU Bookmakers 77%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.45/3.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.27/0.44
-39% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +60%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sham Shui Po
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wofoo Tai Po
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.10.2022 Sham Shui Po Sham Shui Po 0-4 HT 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po Wofoo Tai Po HK1
POST-MATCH Sham Shui Po vs Wofoo Tai Po
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wofoo Tai Po squeezed past Sham Shui Po 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wofoo Tai Po as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Sham Shui Po vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Sham Shui Po 0-1 Wofoo Tai Po in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sham Shui Po vs Wofoo Tai Po?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wofoo Tai Po win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sham Shui Po 19%, draw 21%, Wofoo Tai Po 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wofoo Tai Po) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
14 Apr 2024
10:00 Kitchee vs North District Analysis →