Kitchee 4-0 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
25%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.46
Over 2.5
59%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
81%
-21.4pp
25%
Draw
12%
+13.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
25%
+16.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
75%
-16.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
3.61/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.25
+27% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +142% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
506 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
2W-0D-0L
AWAY North District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
21.02.2024 North District North District 0-1 HT 0-0 Kitchee Kitchee HONSAP
03.12.2023 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-3 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
4-0
AWAY North District
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitchee swept aside North District 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kitchee as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Kitchee had 57% of the ball to North District's 43%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kitchee and 1.00 for North District.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs North District?

Kitchee 4-0 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 60%, draw 25%, North District 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitchee), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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