Central & Western 2-1 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central & Western EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
3.41/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.44
+65% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central & Western
3W-0D-0L
AWAY South China
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 South China South China 0-3 HT 0-0 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
02.04.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 2-1 HT 1-0 South China South China HK2
03.10.2021 South China South China 1-2 HT 1-1 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central & Western
2-1
AWAY South China
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central & Western vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western squeezed past South China 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Central & Western had 48% of the ball to South China's 52%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Central & Western had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Central & Western and 0.67 for South China.

What was the final score of Central & Western vs South China?

Central & Western 2-1 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central & Western vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Central & Western 55%, draw 20%, South China 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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