Crusaders FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
33%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 24% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.03
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.0
X/1
9%
3.82
X/2 EV+ ✗
12%
10.2
X/X
13%
5.83
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
14%
7.75
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · X/2 at 10.2 — our 12% vs market 6.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
59%
-17.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
19%
+14.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crusaders FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.18/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.63
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crusaders FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
08.12.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
22.08.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 9-0 HT 5-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
25.03.2023 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
02.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-3 HT 0-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
01.10.2022 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 4-3 HT 2-2 Crusaders FC Crusaders FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crusaders FC
3-1
AWAY Carrick Rangers
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crusaders FC saw off Carrick Rangers 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Crusaders FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crusaders FC had 61% of the ball to Carrick Rangers's 39%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crusaders FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Crusaders FC and 0.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Crusaders FC 3-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crusaders FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crusaders FC 42%, draw 25%, Carrick Rangers 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crusaders FC) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crusaders FC) ✗ BTTS No
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KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
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