Glentoran FC 0-3 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
8%
8.75
X/X
9%
5.83
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
14%
6.05
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -21%
1.77/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.76
-7% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Glentoran FC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
13.01.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
13.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
22.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
22.04.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
11.02.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Glentoran FC
0-3
AWAY Coleraine FC
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Glentoran FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC cruised past Glentoran FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Glentoran FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Glentoran FC had 53% of the ball to Coleraine FC's 47%, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Glentoran FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Glentoran FC vs Coleraine FC?

Glentoran FC 0-3 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Glentoran FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Glentoran FC 50%, draw 23%, Coleraine FC 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Glentoran FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
1 May 2024
21:45 Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers Analysis →