Coleraine FC 2-1 Glentoran FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.19
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 30% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.71
1/2
9%
21.85
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
17%
8.15
X/2
14%
4.35
X/X
13%
5.54
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.39
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Glentoran FC EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.21/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.98
+1% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coleraine FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Glentoran FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
13.11.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
22.09.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
22.04.2023 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC 3-0 HT 3-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
11.02.2023 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
11.11.2022 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Glentoran FC Glentoran FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coleraine FC
2-1
AWAY Glentoran FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coleraine FC vs Glentoran FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC nicked a narrow win over Glentoran FC 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Coleraine FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Coleraine FC had 42% of the ball to Glentoran FC's 58%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glentoran FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coleraine FC and 2.00 for Glentoran FC.

What was the final score of Coleraine FC vs Glentoran FC?

Coleraine FC 2-1 Glentoran FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coleraine FC vs Glentoran FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Glentoran FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Coleraine FC 33%, draw 27%, Glentoran FC 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Glentoran FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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