Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Newry City AFC
0-2 HT 0-1
Dungannon Swifts
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
North Ireland - Premier League – 2023/2024

Newry City AFC vs Dungannon Swifts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.55
No
57%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.72
6+ Goals
10%
6.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.18 — our 30% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.57
1/2
9%
20.0
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
11%
9.78
X/2
15%
4.24
X/X
9%
6.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.09
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
49%
Away Win
55%
-6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
60%
-17.1pp
57%
BTTS No
40%
+17.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newry City AFC v Dungannon Swifts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 60%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -67% / -67%
0.12/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
-90% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -72%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
236 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Newry City AFC vs Dungannon Swifts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newry City AFC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 5-0 HT 3-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
12.12.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-2 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KILK
18.11.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 4-1 HT 3-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
22.09.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 2-2 HT 1-2 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
29.04.2023 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 2-1 HT 1-1 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
17.02.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-2 HT 0-1 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL

Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newry City AFC
0-2
AWAY Dungannon Swifts
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newry City AFC vs Dungannon Swifts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dungannon Swifts saw off Newry City AFC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dungannon Swifts as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Newry City AFC had 40% of the ball to Dungannon Swifts's 60%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dungannon Swifts led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newry City AFC and 2.83 for Dungannon Swifts.

What was the final score of Newry City AFC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Newry City AFC 0-2 Dungannon Swifts in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newry City AFC vs Dungannon Swifts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dungannon Swifts win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Newry City AFC 27%, draw 24%, Dungannon Swifts 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dungannon Swifts), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dungannon Swifts) ✓ BTTS No
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