Larne FC 8-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.93
6+ Goals
10%
8.62
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.43 — our 24% vs market 17.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
10%
4.21
X/2
7%
8.96
X/X
10%
5.81
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
15%
6.29
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.47/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.32
-20% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cliftonville
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-0 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
03.11.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
26.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-1 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
11.04.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 0-2 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
18.02.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
02.01.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 2-1 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC swept aside Cliftonville 8-1. Half-time: 4-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Larne FC and 1.17 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Cliftonville?

Larne FC 8-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 49%, draw 24%, Cliftonville 27%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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